Thursday, November 18, 2010

A LOOK AHEAD (Part 2): Ballard Division

This week we are breaking down the Seattle Blue Ribbon Playoff picture.  Yesterday we took a look at the Queen Anne Division, and today we will analyze the Ballard Division.


FIGHTING FREEMASONS

Current Playoff Seed: 3

Current Record: 6-4, 1 game lead in the Ballard Division

To Get to Playoffs:  The Freemasons control their own destiny.  If they win, they are in...they just have to keep 1 game between them and the Kittens.  The division could be decided in week 13 when the Freemasons play the Kittens.

Opponents Record thus far: 47-53

Remaining Opponents Record: 14-16 (Manti, Royale W/Cheese, Kittens)

Playoff Chances: The Freemasons have two division games left on the season, but are a combined 6-2 against the Manti an Kittens All-Time.  They also play the Royale W/Cheese, who are fighting for a playoff spot and have never lost to the Freemasons.  It is not a horribly tough schedule for the Freemasons....win and they are in.

Playoff Prediction: The Cheese will finish 8-5, and claim the 3rd playoff seed

BALLARD KITTENS

Current Playoff Seed: 7

Current Record: 5-5, 1 game back in Ballard Division

To Get to Playoffs:  The Kittens are withing striking distance of the Freemasons for the Ballard Division Crown, and that may be the only way they can make the playoffs.  The Kittens missed the playoffs last year on the "Points Scored" tiebreaker, and the same is likely to happen this season if they end up going to "Points Scored".

Opponents Record thus far: 50-50

Remaining Opponents Record: 14-16 (Soup Can, Fluffernutter, Freemasons)

Playoff Chances: The Kittens have the a lot of work ahead.  Sure, their remaining opponents have the same record as the Freemasons remaining opponents...but the Kittens don't have a winning record against any of the teams that they have yet to play.  They have split 5 games with the Soup Can (2 wins-2 losses- 1 tie), but are a combined 2-6 All-Time against the Fluff and Masons.  If they can beat the Soup or Fluff, the game against the Freemasons could be huge.

Playoff Prediction: The Kittens will finish 6-7, and miss the playoffs based on tiebreaker of points scored.

MIGHTY MIGHTY MANTI

Current Playoff Seed: 9

Current Record: 4-6, 2 games back in Ballard Division

To Get to Playoffs:  The Manti need to win at least 2 of their final 3 games, and then hope for other teams to stumble.  The Manti is the lowest scoring team in the league, so a tiebreaker win is doubtful.

Opponents Record thus far: 50-50

Remaining Opponents Record: 12-18 (Freemasons, Counselor, Soup Can)

Playoff Chances: Slim.  The Manti could have helped themselves coast into the playoffs (potentially) had they not played sooo many Bye Week Players.  The Manti, now full strength since no more byes exist, will try to end their 3 Game Losing streak as they play the Freemasons in week 11.  But, it doesn't look good, as the Freemasons have won all but one of the previous four matches against the Manti.  Things might be better against Counselor and the Soup Can, but the Manti are a combined 4-4 against those teams.  Plus, if anyone gets hurt on the Manti, they will most likely still be starting...so I don't like their chances.

Playoff Prediction: The Manti will finish 4-9 after losing 6 in a row.  The Manti will not make the playoffs.

MOUNT BAKER SOUP CAN

Current Playoff Seed: 11

Current Record: 3-7, 3 games back in Ballard Division

To Get to Playoffs:  Easy.  Just win Baby!  If the Soup Can lose, their playoff hopes are dead and gone.  Even with 3 straight victories, the Soup Can will need some help...but have scored enough points thus far to help them out in a tiebreaker scenario.

Opponents Record thus far: 56-44

Remaining Opponents Record: 13-17 (Kittens, Pretty Boys, Manti)

Playoff Chances: The Soup Can have never missed the playoffs, but they have left themselves some work to keep that streak alive.  The schedule is in their favor to win out, but history is not.  The Soup Can have split 5 games with the Kittens (2-2-1), beat the Pretty Boys both times they have played, but are only 2-3 against the Manti.  The Soup Can have used their high waiver order number each week to re-stack the deck and have the depth and the match-ups to go on a run...but they have to be flawless.  The blessing and the curse of depth is trying to figure out who to play each week...Bell must guess right, as a loss will have the Soup Can looking toward next season.

Playoff Prediction: The Soup Can will finish 5-8, and miss the playoffs.

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